Home Price Trends Blazed by Twin Cities Housing Market are Recognized as a Signal of Where National Home Price Trends are Headed
August 14, 2014
A new Trulia study of 100 sizable metros put under the magnifying glass came up with what they term “The Crystal Ball Award” and announced that “the housing market with the highest crystal-ball score is Minneapolis-St. Paul”.
Trulia's findings show that the Twin Cities housing market predicts national home price trends, since their year-over-year changes run a little bit ahead of national home price trends. Minneapolis home price appreciation continues to show slow and steady gains.
"The Twin Cities housing market has an even keel aspect about it that makes it a market leader. While the Minneapolis/St. Paul residential real estate housing recovery has been impacted similarly with national shifts, overall it continues at a slow and steady pace in its progress upwards," says Jenna Thuening, owner of Home Destination. "The fact that it has fewer swings remarkably in one direction or the other is one aspect that makes investors trust it as a lead indicator."
The study sought to determine which housing markets can be attributed as national leaders that trend ahead of other metros as key indicators of home price trends. Minneapolis home price adjustments were examined between 1980 and 2014 as well as in the 100 largest U.S. metros and the U.S. overall, using the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) home-price index. According to Truila , the crystal-ball score that they create for each metro is drawn from the correlation between the year-over-year home price change in that metro with the year-over-year home price change for the U.S. overall one year later. In simple wording, it matches how closely a local market home prices eb and flow when compared with national ups and downs one year later.
Minneapolis - St.Paul Housing Market Recognized for Strength and Stability
Gaining bellwether recognition is: San Diego, Ventura County, and Sacramento in California; West Palm Beach and 3 additional Florida metros; Washington, DC; and St. Louis, MO. In general, these markets had a more severe housing bust last decade and faster historical price growth over the past three decades than other markets. Being able to take claim for a milder bust over housing markets in California and Florida, St. Louis, Washington, the real estate recovery Minneapolis - St. Paul, St. Louis and Washington are recognized for their strength and stability.
Minnesota Ranked 20th for YOY Hightest Appreciatinng Home Values
The latest S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index report, that posted Tuesday, talks of a new two year drop in home prices on a national level. This let slip the previous 28 consecutive month of year-over-year improvements in the CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI), following June’s gains of 7.5 percent. Minnesota ranked 20th out of the top 25 states placing for YOY Highest appreciating home values. The 12-month HPI change is 6.1%, the 3-month change is 4.3% and the 1-month change is 1.3%.
Both reports confirm two other specific areas of notable real estate price adjustments in the Twin Cities, which include:
• Luxury tier priced homes feel the least amount in price-adjustment nationally, standing at 9.8 % below peak.
• Demand for single-family condos is high and pushing prices upwards.
Download the Builders Associaiton of Twin Cities Twin Cities Housing Supply Overview July 2014
Download CoreLogic's Case Shiller Home Prices MarketPulse Report for Augugst 2014>
Download Truila's Report stating that the Twin Cities Housing Market Predicts National Home Price Trends
""Pay extra attention to Minneapolis-St. Paul home prices – they are the best local indicator of what will happen to national home prices one year later." ~ Trulia
Whether you plan to buy a Twin Cities home for the first time or are a move-up home buyer, home price trends will have an impact on your home purchase. Call me at 612-396-7832. Gain our real estate guidance and you can be assured that buying a home will be a fun and rewarding journey.
Jenna Thuening, a Twin Cities residential Realtor on news that home price trends blazed by Twin Cities housing market are recognized as being a predictor on national home price adjustments.
Eden Prairie MN 55344
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